Chasing a flush on the net – Sometimes the numbers just don’t add up!
There is an age old debate in poker – really should you chase a flush? Initial of all we need to define what we mean here by "chasing a flush on the internet."
Chasing anything in Holdem poker could be the practice of gambling to stay in a hands in the hope that you will produce a far better hands, even though you could possibly have absolutely nothing at the time. So chasing a flush means wagering that you will obtain the card or card which you need to complete your flush hand within the turn or river. You cannot chase a flush before the flop because at that time you only have 2 cards so the flush isn’t on.
So let’s say you are betting one of the large poker web-sites on line, you’ve been dealt the Ace and nine of spades and you have paid to see the flop.
The flop is 2s seven-s Kd and one of your opponents comes out wagering strongly with a fair sized raise, what do you do?
1st of all ask yourself what sort of palm you are up against. The possibilities are triples, a different flush draw, a pair of Kings or a total bluff, so as it stands you are only succeeding towards the bluff with your Ace. To the other palm in the event you hit a spade in the last 2 cards you may have the nut flush and could only lose to a full house or four of a kind.
Around the face of it you may well assume that statistically you might have about a fifty – fifty opportunity of hitting your spade, after all there is two cards to come and four suits so there must be about a half chance, proper?
Wrong!
You already have 2 of the spades in your hands and there is one more 2 showing to the table, so you know 5 cards and four of them are spades. That suggests you may have 9 spades left available out of the forty seven cards you haven’t seen, which is only a forty two per-cent likelihood of catching your flush.
If you do bet around the turn and do not generate your flush, what do you do then? You have probably now turn into pot-committed, you have put so much into the pot that you may possibly as properly bet again on the river unless there’s a major increase or all-in against you, except now your chances of making the flush have dropped dramatically to only 21 per cent.
Except what of that other factor, the mysterious net poker syndrome? What I mean by which is despite the fact that you statistically have a 42 per-cent possibility of making a flush, is that what really occurs in reality? If you bet the very same hands in the exact same web poker table one hundred occasions would you receive a flush 42 times? From my personal understanding I doubt it. Flushes seem to come around a lot less generally than forty two out of 100 instances!
That is just my own opinion and I am positive the poker internet sites would tell you a unique story, except the way I see it is forty two per-cent may be the really Finest you are ever going to get and you might well have a lot much less opportunity than that of hitting your flush.
Bottom line? Chasing a flush on line is really a really risky technique that sucks you in and over commits you, without giving you sufficient of a opportunity of pulling out the winning hand.